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Spatial analysis and modeling to assess and map current vulnerability to extreme weather events in the Grijalva – Usumacinta watershed, México | |
Daniel María López López | |
Acceso Abierto | |
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas | |
10.1088/1755-1315/8/1/012021 | |
One of the major concerns over a potential change in climate is that it will cause an increase in extreme weather events. In Mexico, the exposure factors as well as the vulnerability to the extreme weather events have increased during the last three or four decades. In this study spatial analysis and modeling were used to assess and map settlement and crop systems vulnerability to extreme weather events in the Grijalva – Usumacinta watershed. Sensitivity and coping adaptive capacity maps were constructed using decision models; these maps were then combined to produce vulnerability maps. The most vulnerable area in terms of both settlement and crop systems is the highlands, where the sensitivity is high and the adaptive capacity is low. In lowlands, despite the very high sensitivity, the higher adaptive capacity produces only moderate vulnerability. I conclude that spatial analysis and modeling are powerful tools to assess and map vulnerability. These preliminary results can guide the formulation of adaptation policies to an increasing risk of extreme weather events. | |
IOP Publishing Ltd | |
2009 | |
Artículo | |
IOP Conf. Series: Earth and Environmental Science 8 (2009) 012021 | |
Inglés | |
Estudiantes Investigadores Maestros | |
OTRAS | |
Versión publicada | |
publishedVersion - Versión publicada | |
Aparece en las colecciones: | CentroGeo |
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Fichero | Tamaño | Formato | |
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DL_Spatial analysis_modeling_vulnerability_Grijalba_2009.pdf | 13.22 MB | Adobe PDF | Visualizar/Abrir |